Free Trial

Global Investor Magazine Copying and distributing are prohibited without permission of the publisher

US ratings downgrade “likely”

04 August 2011

Despite US politicians reaching a deal on the country’s debt ceiling, a sovereign ratings downgrade should be expected, according to senior industry sources, reports Annabelle Palmer

Read more: Standard & Poor's Moody's Fitch US debt ceiling Ken Taubes Pioneer David Harris Schroders Clive Stainton

The US government deal is unlikely to be enough to satisfy the rating agencies with both Standard & Poor’s and Moody's saying they will still consider a downgrade of the its triple-A credit rating, whileFitch has stated it would only do so if an interest payment was missed. According to Eric Friedland, head of municipal credit research at Schroders, at some point the US will have to prepare itself for a lower credit rating: “There will most likely be some sort of downgrade but it won’t come soon.”

If the US lost its triple-A rating...